Norfolk Stakes

18 Jun

King Of Rooks (Richard Hughes) wins the National Stakes Sandown 28.5.15 Pic: Edward Whitaker

 

Eight of the last 12 runnings have gone the way of the favourite or second-favourite. It should again this year as this race looks a two horse race. Just two Norfolk Stakes winners since 1991 had tasted defeat on their previous start so it is best to concentrate on such runners of which there will be many. Therefore, to cut the parameters further, I suggest looking to those yet to taste defeat as 14 of the last 21 winners had perfect records entering the race and six of the last nine winners arrived here with the profile of one run and one win. Also all five winners since 1997 that had run more than twice were beaten first time out. All the stats point to the Richard Hannon pair King of Rooks and Log Out Island who are 1st and 2nd in the betting.

 

King Of Rooks has been one of the most impressive 2 year old’s this season. He was 3rd on debut behind Steady Pace and Beeverbrook. Both of them were placed here earlier in the week. King of Rooks was a shade unlucky in that race and ran green. He then won by 6 lengths at Newbury over 6F. His most recent run at Sandown, was scintillating. He was sent to the front and there was no catching him. He beat Buratino by 5 lengths and it easily could’ve been more. Buratino has since won at Epsom by 6 lengths and won the Coventry Stakes here earlier in the week in great style. The 6th in that race at Sandown was 2nd here earlier in the week too so the form is very strong. King Of Rooks has the ground in favour and is sure to take all the beating.

 

Log Out Island rates as the main and only danger to King of Rooks. He has only run once and won. He beat Handytalk by 4 and ½ lengths on debut with Buratino a length back in 3rd. That form is very strong and it ties in with King of Rooks. Buratino’s following run was that 5 length defeat at the hands of King of Rooks at Sandown which could’ve been more. Handytalk was a further 2 and half length back in 4th that day. Buratino won 3 races following that. There’s not much between Log Out Island and King of Rooks on form, I’d give the edge to the latter on form. I think King Of Rooks experience will stand him in good stead though. He’s had 2 more runs and he looked the last day like he was unbeatable. This race will come down to a great speed battle of King of Rooks and Log Out Island. I think King of Rooks will be too strong.

 

Of the outsiders French Encore is one I like. His form like most in here is no where as good as the first two in the betting but I think he could grab a place. He showed some decent form in France and won easy on debut at Bath. He’s very speedy but lacks class though.

 

Selection: King Of Rooks 10/11

Outsider: French Encore 25/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

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